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Iowa Hawkeyes at Michigan State Spartans: Preview, predictions and prognostications

Michigan State hosts Iowa in a critical matchup for both teams seasons…who will prevail in East Lansing?

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Two teams with different, but equally disappointing results meet in East Lansing on Saturday afternoon.

Yes, the Iowa Hawkeyes and Michigan State Spartans will look to shake off losses last weekend and only one will come out victorious. It’s fitting for a series that has been close over the last two decades or so.

How do we see this game shaping up? Let’s join our Andy Coppens in taking an in-depth look at what you need to know heading in to Saturday afternoon’s affair between the Hawkeyes and Spartans at 4pm ET on FOX.

Andy Coppens is the Founder and Publisher of Talking10. He's a member of the Football Writers Association of America (FWAA) and has been covering college sports in some capacity since 2008. You can follow him on Twitter @AndyOnFootball

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Early Big Ten results remind us why bowl season matters

Don’t tell Iowa, Michigan State and Purdue that their bowl games and wins were meaningless, because they sure weren’t.

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Bowl season is usually a cruel, cruel mistress to the Big Ten. Let’s just say hopes always start high and results crash fans of the teams in the conference back down to earth quickly.

There are a myriad of reasons and excuses often given, and some of them are valid (or at least used to be). Examples usually include the fact that 90 percent of the games are played well outside of the Big Ten footprint and the old reliable of huge disparities in caliber of opponents (addressed a bit by the last change in bowl alignment).

So, as the 2017-18 bowl season got underway it was hard to expect much from the Big Ten. After all, the conference teams managed to go just 3-7 last year and only one of those three wins was very meaningful (Wisconsin over Western Michigan in the Cotton Bowl).

Then the games were played and we here in Big Ten country have been reminded just how meaningful bowl season really is.

Purdue not only got to a bowl game, but it won its bowl game against another offense-first team in Arizona. Sophomore quarterback Elijah Sindelar overcame injury and threw for nearly 400 yards (396 to be exact) and four touchdowns, while running back D.J. Knox had 101 yards on 11 carries.

If you believe bowl games don’t matter, just talk to anyone on the Purdue or Arizona sidelines following that game. Going 7-6 in season one under Jeff Brohm was huge, but most importantly it sets new expectations for the program’s floor going forward.

When is the last time there were anything but dreadful expectations surrounding the Purdue football program? If anything, that should tell you just how meaningful bowl games are.

But, it was just Purdue’s three-point win out in the Foster Farms Bowl that showcased the importance of winning so-called meaningless bowl games.

Michigan State not only rebounded from a 3-9 season to go 9-3, but it just beat a fellow top 25 program in Washington State. Sure, you can point to Luke Falk being out of the game, but the Spartans looked like the Spartans that climbed their way to the College Football Playoff just two years ago again.

Dantonio’s crew pounded the ball down the throat of Wazzu’s smaller defensive line and that led to LJ Scott putting up 110 yards on just 18 carries. Meanwhile, the Spartans defense held the Cougars high-scoring offense to just 17 points in the 42-17 win in the Holiday Bowl.

Think MSU will be overlooked by bowl games in the future again?

Even Iowa, who had the most maddening up and down season of any Big Ten team, pulled off a win in the opening game for a Big Ten team this bowl season.

It wasn’t always pretty, but in a matchup of two 7-5 teams, what else would you expect? Most importantly, the game showed that Iowa could win a close game against a quality defense. For a team full of young players at key positions, it’s a win that builds momentum heading in to the offseason.

All three wins set up increase expectations for next season and there’s nothing better than expecting quality football and increased competition within the Big Ten at all.

Of course, the rest of the Big Ten teams in bowl games have some huge matchups to play in.

It’s a nice start to reversing the trend of horrible bowl seasons for the conference, but there’s a lot of work still to be done for the rest of the conference. With three teams in New Year’s Six bowl games, winning them puts the conference at the forefront of the offseason discussion and as much as we hate to admit it — perception is reality these days in the college football world.

That was the lesson we were supposed to take away from the College Football Playoff committee’s selection of Alabama over an actual conference champion, right?

With a snub from the College Football Playoff committee this season, a huge turnaround in bowl game results would mean a whole lot to the reputation – fair or not – of the conference going forward.

Let’s see if the early momentum can be maintained by the big dogs of the B1G.

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Iowa goes as Nate Stanley goes, and where that leads no one knows

Nate Stanley was awesome against Ohio State, against other quality defenses? Not so much in 2017.

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Iowa has two impressive wins on its record in 2017, beating both Iowa State (pre-Oklahoma and TCU wins) and Ohio State. Nate Stanley tossed 5 touchdown passes in each of those games — coincidence much?

Despite that, the Hawkeyes are just 6-3 in his first season as a starter, perhaps another not-so-shocking revelation either.

Stanley had himself one heck of a game on the biggest stage of the season for the Iowa Hawkeyes. Five touchdown passes, 226 yards and 64 percent of passes completed led Iowa to a stunning 55-27 win over the previously No. 7-ranked Ohio State Buckeyes.

He also completed 27 of 41 passes for a season-high 333 yards and 5 touchdowns against Iowa State in Week 2.

All of that is well and good, but then there is the Nate Stanley that showed up…or rather, didn’t show up against two of the best defenses the Big Ten has to offer in 2017.

In a loss at home to Penn State, Stanley was just 13 of 22 for 191 yards and two touchdowns. He also followed that up by going 16 of 31 for just 197 yards and no touchdowns against Michigan State the next week.

That MSU game also saw Stanley fumble inside the Spartans 10-yard line just as it appeared Iowa was going to make it a one-score game. Instead, Michigan State recovered a really strange fumble and held on to a 17-7 lead.

But, the good news is he didn’t throw an interception in any of those games. In fact, Stanley has thrown just four interceptions all season long.

Once again, the flip side of that great news is that three of his four interceptions have come in the last four games.

Which version of Nate Stanley will show up against Wisconsin on Saturday afternoon at Camp Randall?

The home-state product was not a priority for the Badgers back in the short-lived Gary Anderson era. Instead, Anderson was all-in on finding a dual-threat quarterback capable of giving the Badgers the run-pass option he desperately wanted in transitioning the Badgers offense.

Stanley didn’t and doesn’t fit that bill at all. Yet, the Badgers had a D1 quarterback in their back yard and Anderson chose to ignore him. Stanley’s former high school head coach, Joe LaBuda, of Menomonie High School, put the situation rather bluntly.

“The only reason he’s not a Badger,” LaBuda said, “is Gary Andersen.”

No matter the situation on the recruiting trail, and the motivation it might give to Stanley, the fact remains that what he will see across the field is easily his biggest challenge to date.

He’ll face arguably the best of the Big Ten’s defenses this weekend, as the Hawkeyes take on bitter rival Wisconsin.

Stanley has faced big challenges before and in Big Ten play he’s come up with one big performance and two losses. Despite the early setbacks to Penn State and Michigan State, Stanley hasn’t let it get to him and that is a credit to his ability to face adversity head-on.

“The biggest thing I’ve said all along is I’ve been most impressed with how he’s handled the bumps,” said Kirk Ferentz at his weekly press conference on Tuesday. “When things go wrong, it doesn’t seem to rock his world.”

On Saturday he’ll face a defense that specializes in rocking quarterback’s worlds. Wisconsin is second in the Big Ten with 31 sacks and have racked up a Big Ten-best 14 interceptions. Four of those 14 interceptions have been returned for touchdowns, a total that also leads the Big Ten.

Can Stanley avoid the big hits and the mistakes that the Badgers like to force opposing quarterbacks in to?

If he can, Iowa is likely to have a good shot in this rivalry game. If not, the Badgers are likely to continue their defensive domination.

Let’s see if Stanley has another big performance against a big time defense in him. It sure has been a mixed bag of results so far in 2017.

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Can Iowa Hawkeyes build off of offensive outburst against Illinois?

Iowa’s offense came on strong to finish off a Homecoming win over Illinois, but can that outburst sustain itself going forward?

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A look at the scoreline suggest the Iowa Hawkeyes did exactly what they were supposed to do on Saturday. Iowa won 45-16 and that seemed about right, but it wasn’t as easy as the scoreboard suggested.

The Hawkeyes were down 13-10 in the second quarter and playing some poor football all the way around. Everything changed on one play in the third quarter though.

Iowa safety Brandon Synder returned to the lineup for the first time this season and he picked a heck of a time for a comeback…literally. Synder picked off a Jeff George Jr. effort deep in Iowa territory and returned it 89 yards for a Hawkeyes touchdown.

What could’ve been a 20-17 deficit in the third quarter turned in to a 24-13 lead. It also seemed to be the catalyst that sparked the Hawkeyes offense.

“They (Illinois) were driving the ball, and they did a good job today offensively,” said head coach Kirk Ferentz following the game. “Their offense did. To come up with that play to get the interception was big, and then to turn it into points was even bigger. Just seemed like that got us moving.”

Illinois was never the same after that pick-six, responding back with a lowly 40-yard field goal by Chase McLaughlin to make it 24-16.

The Hawkeyes ripped off three fourth quarter touchdowns following that pick-six and cruised to the 45-16 win.

Hidden in the scoring output where great seconds half performances by Iowa’s two biggest offensive weapons — Nate Stanley and Akrum Wadley.

Stanley completed just 17 of 32 passes on the day, but he went for 247 yards and three touchdowns to one interception. Wadley added 115 yards and a touchdown rushing and receiving. He had an even day on the ground with 58 yards in the first half to go with 57 yards in the second.

Wide receiver Nick Easley put up a game-high seven receptions for 59 yards and Noah Fant showed the big play ability that should worry teams going forward. He had just three catches, but led the Hawkeyes with 78 yards and a long of 41 yards on the day.

That was certainly good news after seeing the offense screech to a halt the last two weeks against Penn State and at Michigan State.

While the good news is Iowa’s offense came to life, it took awhile to get going and looked like an 0-3 start could’ve been a real possibility in the first half. All of that against one of the Big Ten’s worst defenses.

It’s up to Ferentz and Co. to figure out how to get this offense rolling quicker. So far, they haven’t been able to solve that puzzle. But, Ferentz doesn’t seem too worried that is team won’t figure it out.

“What’s important is how you respond to frustration and where you put your focus,” said Ferentz. “Where you put your energy, and then also what you do during the week, what can you do to be a better prepared team and learn from whatever has caused frustration in previous weeks, that type of thing, and that’s an ongoing process.”

“That’s really the race that we’re all running right now.”

Let’s see if the spark that lit this team against Illinois can stay lit the rest of the way. If so, Iowa is going to be a team to pay attention to. If not, the Hawkeyes are in some real trouble the rest of the year.

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talking10 Power Poll: Surprises galore in Week 1 poll

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We’re back…after a long offseason, the staff is finally back to watching football, crunching numbers and giving you our opinions on all things Big Ten football.

It also means our weekly staff Power Poll is back as well.

This season we’ve got five staff members voting every week. That includes the following names:

Andy Coppens@AndyOnFootball

Phil Harrison@PhilHarrisonCFB

Philip Rossmann-Reich – @RiseNU

Dave Fitzgerald@BuckeyeFitzy

Zach Worthington@Worthyton

Normally the opening week of the season provides little in the way of knowledge, but that certainly wasn’t the case in 2017. Dare we say the first week of action for the Big Ten was highly entertaining?

You can say that, and we did over at the #B1GRewind Show.

But, how did all of that excitement shake out when it came time to vote? Let’s take a look at the official poll for Week 1:

Let’s just say things were a bit wackier than usual, huh?

Takeaways:

  • Only three teams lost this week, yet it was a winner, Illinois, coming up dead last and it wasn’t even close. The Illini’s unimpressive three-point win was also our winner for “Disappointment of the Week” on the #B1GRewind show…so perhaps their last place finish in the power poll this week was really warranted. It also appears that hanging tough with ranked teams meant a lot to our voters.
  • While the rest of the college football world is in love with Ohio State…our staff is much more in love with the Nittany Lions…well not “much more” but they won out with three first place votes and OSU falling outside the top two in one voters mind.
  • It appears there is going to be an interesting battle for the middle of the pack over the next few weeks. Michigan State was No. 7 in this poll, but had just a three-point lead on No. 10 Nebraska. Let’s just say the next few weeks should shake out the middle a bit more.
  • Speaking of close fights…the battle between Michigan and Wisconsin for the third spot should be an interesting one indeed. Can Wisconsin’s offense keep up the high-scoring and keep UW ahead or will Michigan’s exciting youth movement grow up fast enough to challenge for the top of the East division and thus our poll as well?
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